Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.235176 17.234756 19.472739 22.177360 25.376207 29.062299 33.664927
2025-09-14 12.023363 14.434525 17.348760 21.176305 26.140008 32.457275 41.267042
2025-09-21 10.087236 12.573709 15.730727 20.111210 26.159361 34.414389 46.897017
2025-09-28 8.878695 11.400749 14.731407 19.564386 26.595230 36.783197 53.329598
2025-10-05 8.909648 11.825573 15.850789 21.999807 31.511367 46.324765 72.622256
2025-10-12 8.453970 11.506464 15.865756 22.798071 34.059647 52.665691 88.280421
2025-10-19 7.695780 10.667928 15.019449 22.149198 34.168512 54.952431 97.184368
2025-10-26 7.378373 10.438917 15.046896 22.857833 36.601302 61.677494 116.448248
2025-11-02 6.876834 9.882497 14.506273 22.554306 37.202448 65.110958 129.821944
2025-11-09 6.418799 9.353312 13.955316 22.159344 37.560860 68.108664 143.082269
2025-11-16 6.041383 8.920211 13.518484 21.906817 38.136464 71.633145 158.712162
2025-11-23 5.642709 8.423338 12.933268 21.321420 37.972390 73.538592 170.806600
2025-11-30 5.322095 8.045466 12.541310 21.094142 38.592541 77.532899 190.831836
2025-12-07 4.910941 7.491611 11.806698 20.151827 37.609158 77.665297 199.846914
2025-12-14 4.530152 6.964428 11.079499 19.151314 36.365835 76.939583 206.030334
2025-12-21 4.258475 6.605584 10.623921 18.637228 36.118972 78.658691 221.093589
2025-12-28 4.412214 6.985865 11.522716 20.925069 42.567429 99.450629 315.847308
2026-01-04 4.337160 6.958163 11.666672 21.674014 45.547402 111.687082 387.280143
2026-01-11 4.096551 6.619274 11.198081 21.065264 45.075297 113.594731 414.555900
2026-01-18 4.026583 6.584623 11.308593 21.730065 47.964168 126.792038 507.286604
2026-01-25 3.852318 6.347967 11.008077 21.445357 48.307197 131.827792 561.833678
2026-02-01 3.680871 6.107273 10.683588 21.074785 48.364734 135.944835 615.306636
2026-02-08 3.535123 5.907091 10.427137 20.837794 48.763961 141.441703 683.558653